the regulatory persona
transitions with predictable reliability. No one knows for certain
what triggers the change. It’s highly doubtful there’s a directive
that comes out of the Washington office that says, "Time to get
tougher." Regardless, in every business cycle the regulators seem to
make the first move to get more aggressive on credit grading.
For the majority of the cycle, bankers and
regulators see eye-to-eye on grading. Maybe that’s because in a
benign economic environment every borrower looks good. There’s
little in the way of arguments about whether a particular obligor is
a grade 7 or 8. No haranguing about the accrual status either.
Then one day it happens; the regulator disagrees with the bank
rating and insists it be downgraded. The banker chalks it up to a
bad day, or maybe lack of sleep, for this particular examiner. But
then it happens again. And again. Soon, the banker is left wondering
what’s going on. Thoughts of being in perfect harmony with the
regulators on grading calibration vanish, and now all of a sudden it
seems banker and regulator are speaking two different languages.
Due to the perceived misses, regulators gradually
begin to impugn the bank’s grading system, which in turn leads to
criticism of the loan loss reserve: "How can you know your reserve
is adequate if you can’t even grade your credits properly?"
The bankers feel betrayed. They’ve worked hard to
align themselves with the regulatory thought process on grading, and
now they’re suddenly getting their hands slapped for being out of
sync.
The bank’s reaction is gradual. First there is the
denial stage ("The regulators are wrong!"). Then there’s the anger
stage ("Why didn’t the regulators just tell us they were changing
their standards?"). Then comes the acceptance phase, followed by the
adjustment stage.
It’s usually the people in the Credit Review
department who first notice the regulatory sea change, and they’re
the ones who initiate the transition for the bank. This is a very
painful process. Regulators hint that the internal grading process
is beginning to fail and indict the Credit Review department for the
problem. Credit Review responds by trying to interpret the new
regulatory expectations. At first this is a clumsy effort because
neither they nor the regulators themselves are certain as to what
the new standards are. Eventually alignment occurs and Credit Review
begins to implement it throughout the company.
There is a predictable uproar. Accused of selling
out to the regulators, Credit Review is often derided as being
nothing more than an extension of the (choose one) OCC, Fed, FDIC,
OTS, or state. Credit Review is now caught between two competing
forces: line management and regulators. Neither group is inclined to
be sympathetic. Since the regulators carry the bigger stick (read:
"We’ll tell the board you’re not doing your job"), the review
function puts its head down and plows forward. It takes a severe
beating in the process.
Eventually, the line side of the organization begins
to come around. This occurs for several reasons, but neither Credit
Review nor the regulators will go away. Further, some of the credits
that are being "unjustly" criticized begin to take on, in the
immortal words of Hulk Hogan, an "odiferous" smell. Such credits
imply that maybe, just maybe, the regulators and the Credit Review
function might be right. Eventually, everyone gets in alignment and
begins to grade credits the way they need to be called. This
alignment occurs somewhere around the time problem credits are
beginning to rain down in every segment of the portfolio.
It’s all a normal part of the business cycle.
Everyone has a role in this opera: regulators, reviewers, and
lenders. They all play their roles predictably and they play them
well.
Let’s face it: The process has begun once again.
Recognize it, adjust, and move on. As an industry, the faster we
accept the inevitable and the sooner all parties stop throwing
stones at each other, the quicker the alignment will occur. Then
everyone can get focused on the real issue: dealing with the problem
credits.
Kevin Blakely, President and CEO
kblakely@rmahq.org